000061599 001__ 61599
000061599 005__ 20171211142500.0
000061599 0247_ $$2doi$$a10.1007/s10479-014-1637-z
000061599 0248_ $$2sideral$$a90623
000061599 037__ $$aART-2015-90623
000061599 041__ $$aeng
000061599 100__ $$0(orcid)0000-0002-5037-6976$$aMoreno Jiménez, José María$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza
000061599 245__ $$aSystemic decision making in AHP: a Bayesian approach
000061599 260__ $$c2015
000061599 5060_ $$aAccess copy available to the general public$$fUnrestricted
000061599 5203_ $$aSystemic decision making is a new approach for dealing with complex multiactor decision making problems in which the actors’ individual preferences on a fixed set of alternatives are incorporated in a holistic view in accordance with the “principle of tolerance”. The new approach integrates all the preferences, even if they are encapsulated in different individual theoretical models or approaches; the only requirement is that they must be expressed as some kind of probability distribution. In this paper, assuming the analytic hier archy process (AHP) is the multicriteria technique employed to rank alternatives, the authors  present a new methodology based on a Bayesian analysis for dealing with AHP systemic  decision making in a local context (a single criterion). The approach integrates the individual visions of reality into a collective one by means of a tolerance distribution, which is defined  as the weighted geometric mean of the individual preferences expressed as probability distributions. A mathematical justification of this distribution, a study of its statistical properties and aMonte Carlo method for drawing samples are also provided. The paper further presents a number of decisional tools for the evaluation of the acceptance of the tolerance distribution, the construction of tolerance paths that increase representativeness and the extraction of the relevant knowledge of the subjacent multiactor decisional process from a cognitive perspective. Finally, the proposed methodology is applied to the AHP-multiplicative model  with lognormal errors and a case study related to a real-life experience in local participatory  budgets for the Zaragoza City Council (Spain).
000061599 536__ $$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MICINN/ECO2011-24181
000061599 540__ $$9info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess$$aAll rights reserved$$uhttp://www.europeana.eu/rights/rr-f/
000061599 590__ $$a1.406$$b2015
000061599 591__ $$aOPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE$$b32 / 82 = 0.39$$c2015$$dQ2$$eT2
000061599 655_4 $$ainfo:eu-repo/semantics/article$$vinfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion
000061599 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0002-5788-6661$$aGargallo, Pilar$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza
000061599 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0003-1205-1756$$aSalvador, Manuel$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza
000061599 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0002-0117-7655$$aAltuzarra, Alfredo$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza
000061599 7102_ $$14008$$2623$$aUniversidad de Zaragoza$$bDepartamento de Estructura e Historia Económicas y Economía Pública$$cMétodos Cuantitativos para la Economíay la Empresa
000061599 773__ $$g245, 1 (2015), 261–284$$pAnn. oper. res.$$tANNALS OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH$$x0254-5330
000061599 8564_ $$s675742$$uhttp://zaguan.unizar.es/record/61599/files/texto_completo.pdf$$yPostprint
000061599 8564_ $$s54167$$uhttp://zaguan.unizar.es/record/61599/files/texto_completo.jpg?subformat=icon$$xicon$$yPostprint
000061599 909CO $$ooai:zaguan.unizar.es:61599$$particulos$$pdriver
000061599 951__ $$a2017-12-11-14:21:38
000061599 980__ $$aARTICLE